My bet is that the MAX and Lightning are pretty suitable matched, and who would win in a fight would go down to who is the better twich player. But each of them has thier own reasons of being.
Lightnings are faster than the MAX, and do have better Firepower, BUT can a Lightning go into a base and walk around? and can a lightning specialize in taking out aircraft, vehicles, or personnel? I think that lightnings are more for heavy tank certified people who couldn't find gunners, just something to use until you can find a crew. I imagine people will find many great uses for both the MAX and the Lightning when the games comes out the we are yet to think of here.
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