http://science.slashdot.org/article..../12/24/1518210
"The recently discovered asteroid 2004 MN4 is currently listed as having a 1/233 chance of hitting the Earth. It is 420 m across and if it strikes the Earth it will release an energy of 1,900 Megatons of TNT (the largest nuclear weapon ever detonated, Tsar Bomba had a yield of only 50 Megatons). It is also the only asteroid that currently has a Torino scale value of 2." So, in summary, there's a 1-in-233 chance of the worst disaster in recorded history happening on April 13, 2029, and a 232-in-233 chance of nothing happening. Have a nice day! Update: 12/24 22:14 GMT by M: The rock is now rated a 4 on the Torino scale, or a 1-in-62 chance of impact.
|
It's now up to a 1-in-42 chance...
http://neo.jpl.nasa.gov/risk/2004mn4.html
24 years until possible impact.
April 13, 2029 (Estimated date of impact) is also a Friday the 13th!
PAGING BRUCE WILLIS!